Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 9.607761 11.020762 12.525992 14.244057 16.145828 18.181608 20.520618
2025-02-23 7.142646 8.990883 11.102874 13.675756 16.705340 20.138930 24.303173
2025-03-02 5.507576 7.569534 10.084310 13.332720 17.369761 22.172361 28.263680
2025-03-09 4.430546 6.614027 9.442172 13.292650 18.309013 24.528712 32.718275
2025-03-16 3.551716 5.749739 8.766669 13.081946 18.952025 26.505370 36.784342
2025-03-23 3.130301 5.435933 8.760788 13.715751 20.697353 29.951589 42.876593
2025-03-30 2.656518 4.957315 8.444805 13.857158 21.747806 32.507447 47.907086
2025-04-06 2.128923 4.296609 7.762604 13.374972 21.849217 33.740699 51.181405
2025-04-13 1.686177 3.690259 7.073333 12.787361 21.714893 34.591685 53.919852
2025-04-20 1.519751 3.540314 7.094487 13.288621 23.211023 37.809622 60.087559
2025-04-27 1.455946 3.570080 7.414966 14.285482 25.510222 42.282725 68.208002
2025-05-04 1.356087 3.510346 7.567078 15.005313 27.403707 46.221944 75.685256
2025-05-11 1.167737 3.242157 7.325929 15.059696 28.274942 48.721559 81.238853
2025-05-18 0.965712 2.901824 6.905784 14.759940 28.543440 50.307872 85.494993
2025-05-25 0.806939 2.623464 6.565616 14.564101 28.959215 52.126344 90.156915
2025-06-01 0.695698 2.433747 6.375444 14.619088 29.790296 54.617368 95.917185
2025-06-08 0.582913 2.210870 6.083358 14.447805 30.206597 56.447007 100.700271
2025-06-15 0.548818 2.197168 6.243290 15.167518 32.235710 60.972136 109.856577
2025-06-22 0.482253 2.072100 6.135823 15.340429 33.281337 63.907090 116.569900
2025-06-29 0.386511 1.827517 5.714109 14.828243 33.031386 64.657426 119.788474
2025-07-06 0.301868 1.586884 5.260021 14.195975 32.503514 64.895637 122.158965
2025-07-13 0.280521 1.563952 5.350274 14.744471 34.251846 69.098429 131.152851
2025-07-20 0.281774 1.627638 5.673640 15.829447 37.085843 75.269627 143.557336